Tracking US Democratic Vitality
RealTime DemTrends tracks the factors contributing to US democratic erosion and consolidation leveraging a comprehensive framework based on decades of political science research and extensive consultation with democracy practitioners worldwide.
Through a combination of AI-assisted analysis and multi-tiered expert human editorial review, the project systematically monitors and scores events on a scale of +3 – significant progress to -3 – significant concern across 39 factors organized into thirteen dimensions that speak to the vitality of the US democratic system.
Specifically, the dimensions capture events that reflect upon:
the underlying conditions that allow for a democracy to thrive,
the institutions and practices within the US democratic infrastructure, and
the extent to which the system fulfills what we have come to expect of good governance.
Monitoring Framework
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Social Dynamics
Social Cohesion: Trust within communities and between groups
Horizontal Equity: Fair distribution of public resources
Economic Inequality: Concentration of wealth and its political impacts
Economic Ecosystem
National Economic Security: Balancing broader economic dynamism and global trade while protecting US security interests and infrastructure
Liberal Markets: Fair markets with reasonable regulation and consumer protection
Freedom of Inquiry and Innovation: Capacity to pursue independent inquiry and innovation, safeguarding academic freedom and fostering environments conducive to research and development
Media Infrastructure
Independence and Safety of Journalists: Protecting media professionals from intimidation and violence
Media Freedom and Plurality: Diverse outlets across the political spectrum that operate independently from government control or pressure
Information Integrity: Media literacy and fact-checking capacity to counter untrue or misleading information
Democratic Norms
Civic Culture: Public support for and practice of democratic values
Inclusion of Diverse Voices: Meaningful representation of marginalized and minority groups
Respect for Human Rights: Protection of fundamental freedoms
Civic Participation
Citizen Engagement: Voting patterns and civic involvement in political forums beyond elections
Contentious Politics and Popular Mobilization: Ability to exercise the right to peaceful protest and assembly
Civil Society Oversight: Independent organizations monitoring government activities and performance
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Party Politics
Political Party Development: Strong, disciplined parties with effective leadership capable of making coherent policy decisions
Inter-Party Deliberation and Respect: Constructive debate and mutual respect across party lines
Party System Plurality: Competitive electoral landscape with meaningful policy alternatives
Electoral Processes
Electoral Process Validity: Free, fair, and accessible elections
Campaign Finance: Transparency and regulatory control over the undue influence of money in politics
Nonviolent Transfers of Power: Peaceful and smooth transitions between administrations
Legal System
Rule of Law: Equal application of legal standards that ensures political rights and civil liberties while constraining potential abuses of state power
Impartial Access to Justice: Accessible legal system that ensures that all individuals are treated fairly and with dignity in law enforcement and the courts
Judicial Independence: Courts operate freely from undue influence or political pressure and do not abuse their autonomy to pursue narrow interests
Constitutional Balance of Power
Legislative Processes: Congress's ability to enact legislation, provide oversight, and check executive authority beyond stalling or blocking executive initiatives
Executive Precedent: Norms and limits on presidential power that prevent the executive from skirting legal checks while facilitating responsive governance
Judicial Review and Constitutional Adjudication: Established legal checks through the Supreme Court and constitutional conventions and interpretation
Sovereign Relations
Sub-national Autonomy: Striking a functional balance between national and state authority preserving local decision-making, sufficient resources, and room for policy experimentation while ensuring smooth national coordination
External Influence: Globalization requires resilience against foreign interference in domestic elections, public discourse, and policy decisions
Intergovernmental Cooperation: Clear responsibilities across government levels help citizens identify which authorities are responsible for specific outcomes
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Executive Operations
Civil Service Professionalism: Merit-based recruitment and career systems build institutional expertise and memory across political transitions
Agency Politicization: Striking the balance between political appointees and career officials to avoid negative impacts on performance and service delivery
Independence of Oversight Bodies: Internal watchdogs like attorney generals operate with sufficient autonomy to provide credible checks on executive power
Functional Governance
Regulatory Systems: Fair oversight frameworks that establish clear rules while allowing appropriate flexibility to avoid undue burdens
Service Delivery: Professional provision of public services that reach all segments of the population equitably with systems to monitor and evaluate performance
Crisis Response: Effective emergency management that balances decisive action with emergency powers that remain time-limited and proportionate
Modern Open Government
Open Data: Accessibility of government data and information
Digital Efficiency & Modernization: How technology streamlines or transforms administrative processes
Digital Democracy: Online participation forums, digital government services, and algorithmic systems that make ‘e-governance’ accessible and accountable
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Every week, we're bombarded with partisan narratives, breaking news alerts, and political hot takes that make it nearly impossible to step back and see the bigger picture. What's actually going on with the American democracy?

